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Exact conditioning costs and recovery of finite probability masses

Lax342547.Conditioning · concepts/Lax342547/Conditioning.lean · lax-342547

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    Natural Language Statement

    Theorem

    Conditioning divides event probabilities and point densities by the retained mass. Multiplying a conditional law by that actual mass recovers the original unnormalized restriction pointwise.

    Concept map
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    Proven claimThis conceptDescendants are omitted for concepts with more than 10 descendants.
    Evidence

    This concept declares 5 statements. Each proof establishes one of them relative to its assumptions.

    Lean source view on GitHub

    1import Mathlib.Probability.ProbabilityMassFunction.Constructions
    2import Mathlib.Data.Finset.Union
    3
    4/-!
    5---
    6title: Exact conditioning costs and recovery of finite probability masses
    7type: theorem
    8---
    9Conditioning divides event probabilities and point densities by the
    10retained mass. Multiplying a conditional law by that actual mass recovers
    11the original unnormalized restriction pointwise.
    12-/
    13
    14namespace Lax342547.Conditioning
    15
    16open scoped ENNReal
    17
    18axiom filter_event {Ω : Type} [Fintype Ω] (p : PMF Ω) (S T : Set Ω)
    19 (hS : ∃ o ∈ S, o ∈ p.support) :
    20 (p.filter S hS).toOuterMeasure T = p.toOuterMeasure (S ∩ T) / p.toOuterMeasure S
    21
    22axiom filter_event_bound {Ω : Type} [Fintype Ω] (p : PMF Ω) (S T : Set Ω)
    23 (hS : ∃ o ∈ S, o ∈ p.support) (c : ℝ≥0∞)
    24 (hc : p.toOuterMeasure (S ∩ T) ≤ c * p.toOuterMeasure S) :
    25 (p.filter S hS).toOuterMeasure T ≤ c
    26
    27axiom filter_density {Ω : Type} (p μ : PMF Ω) (S : Set Ω)
    28 (hS : ∃ o ∈ S, o ∈ p.support) (c : ℝ≥0∞) (hc : ∀ o, p o ≤ c * μ o) :
    29 ∀ o, (p.filter S hS) o ≤ (c / p.toOuterMeasure S) * μ o
    30
    31axiom weighted_filter {Ω : Type} (p : PMF Ω) (S : Set Ω)
    32 (hS : ∃ o ∈ S, o ∈ p.support) (o : Ω) :
    33 p.toOuterMeasure S * (p.filter S hS) o = S.indicator p o
    34
    35axiom disjoint_mixture {Ω J : Type} [DecidableEq Ω] (p : PMF Ω)
    36 (L : Finset J) (S : J → Finset Ω)
    37 (hdisjoint : ∀ i ∈ L, ∀ j ∈ L, i ≠ j → Disjoint (S i) (S j))
    38 (hS : ∀ j ∈ L, ∃ o ∈ (S j : Set Ω), o ∈ p.support) (o : Ω) :
    39 (∑ j : {j // j ∈ L}, p.toOuterMeasure (S j.val) * (p.filter (S j.val) (hS j.val j.property)) o) =
    40 (L.biUnion S : Set Ω).indicator p o
    41
    42end Lax342547.Conditioning
    43
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